FC Porto v Leicester Betting Preview – UEFA Champions League 7th December
Leicester’s qualification campaign from the UEFA Champions League group stage has already been a huge success. The Foxes are through to the next round already as group winners with a game to spare. They have shipped just the one goal in their five games, but given their recent poor form on the domestic front, it would make some sense to rest players for this one as there’s nothing at stake for them. FC Porto need to come out and push for a win which would guarantee that they join the Foxes in the knockout stage of the competition. If they only draw, then they could be at risk of missing out.
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FC Porto v Leicester Betting Tips
An odd game then because Leicester don’t have to bother throwing much at this one, other than turning up and going through the motions. With the Foxes going so poorly in the Premier League, it is likely that boss Claudio Ranieri will rest some players for this one to focus on their domestic trials. It makes sense because they have already secured top spot in the group. Leicester took a 1-0 win over Porto at the King Power and that really set them on their way to winning the group. So the impetus is with Porto in this one after drawing 0-0 with Copenhagen on match day five, it means that the Portuguese outfit have to win in order to guarantee that they book second place. If Porto are held to a draw then Copenhagen would edge them out if they were to beat Club Brugge on the night. So that means that Porto are likely to be up for this one to get the win that they need to guarantee progress and they will likely get it against a disinterested Leicester. Porto’s overall home record against English clubs is W7 D6 L3.
Porto have gone W2 D2 L1 so far in the group and at home have drawn with Copenhagen and then they took a win over Club Brugge. At Bet365 the under 2.5 goals option will run you with a price of 4/5 which looks value. English clubs have struggled quite badly at Porto in the UEFA Champions League incidentally. Porto have posted a very good W5 D4 L3 record in their eleven Champions League home games against English opposition. In none of those eleven games have any of the English visitors managed to score more than one goal either. A Porto 1-0 correct score in this one at Bet365 will return a price of 5/1 with the 2-0 option a little shorter at 9/2. Porto’s games have produced the joint-fewest goals in this season’s Champions League alongside Copenhagen (7, 4 scored and 3 conceded). André Silva has been directly involved in 75% of Porto’s goals in this season’s Champions League (3 out of 4), scoring two and assisting one. He is 4/6 favourite in the Bet365 anytime goalscorer market.
So Leicester are likely to take this one easy and you can’t blame them. They are through as group winners and will be hoping for a nice draw in the next round. Leicester are one of ten teams to remain unbeaten in the group stage this season and away from home they have been very solid, banking a 3-0 win at Club Brugge to open their travels with and then they played out a 0-0 draw with Copenhagen. So no away goals conceded so far and they have shipped just one in total in their five games played in the group which is the joint-best record alongside Atletico Madrid. Up in the anytime goalscorer market they have Islam Slimani and Jamie Vardy as 5/2 options. Jamie Vardy has had two shots on target in his first 424 minutes in the Champions League, none of them have found the back of the net.
FC Porto v Leicester Betting Odds
Porto 1/3, Draw 9/2, Leicester 10/1
FC Porto v Leicester Predictions
Worth throwing something at the home side in this one, because Leicester have zero interest in this game on Wednesday. Premier League sides have struggled at Porto anyway and the stats would suggest that the home side are going to get the win that they need to secure second spot. Look for a Porto to win to nil wager in the game because Leicester’s attacking threat is likely going to be minimal in the match. Under 2.5 goals and a home win is on the cards.
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